Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 45.432211 52.553863 59.913771 68.050908 76.759758 85.768431 95.759456
2026-02-01 34.197391 44.155679 55.019357 67.592330 81.597350 96.589830 113.729638
2026-02-08 27.700703 39.078507 52.020109 67.498247 85.211939 104.597381 127.177605
2026-02-15 22.396947 34.543884 48.931622 66.663995 87.441971 110.606163 138.002170
2026-02-22 19.129264 31.977670 47.743012 67.661122 91.441221 118.332923 150.503323
2026-03-01 16.610263 30.012185 47.008160 68.961094 95.596907 126.081124 162.894858
2026-03-08 13.602749 27.010000 44.682225 68.078631 96.964583 130.444226 171.272050
2026-03-15 10.839095 23.970900 42.028045 66.554167 97.368363 133.526934 178.037285
2026-03-22 10.013233 23.667273 42.921582 69.458278 103.122917 142.892747 192.095546
2026-03-29 8.853583 22.694044 42.801823 70.980768 107.118000 150.126439 203.629199
2026-04-05 7.231800 20.743181 41.168686 70.408530 108.414873 154.059861 211.221043
2026-04-12 5.850983 18.972410 39.645304 69.868792 109.665972 157.872833 218.617550
2026-04-19 4.856268 17.746568 38.849285 70.280784 112.133191 163.198917 227.881168
2026-04-26 3.782825 16.147694 37.367523 69.668488 113.228647 166.812040 235.075132
2026-05-03 2.978503 14.909242 36.333753 69.599150 114.968505 171.175016 243.136819
2026-05-10 2.180688 13.442092 34.808499 68.745979 115.617728 174.139933 249.472541
2026-05-17 1.773501 12.819674 34.612464 69.760877 118.708152 180.131524 259.473778
2026-05-24 1.461143 12.357579 34.645104 71.082574 122.191791 186.608352 270.064969
2026-05-31 0.969175 11.110448 33.216149 70.185306 122.654249 189.251461 275.945410
2026-06-07 0.545136 9.731681 31.411976 68.635006 122.168055 190.646791 280.256426
2026-06-14 0.508572 9.952929 32.572247 71.588102 127.828370 199.866265 294.217234
2026-06-21 0.390889 9.705683 32.822840 73.135901 131.558069 206.623265 305.142040
2026-06-28 0.200016 8.795643 31.722838 72.554179 132.328084 209.576301 311.348720